Parliamentary involvement,party ideology and majority-opposition bargaining: Belgian participation in multinational military operations

This article examines the impact of parliamentary involvement in troop deployment decisions on restrictions on military mandates by examining the Belgian contribution to the 2011 Libya intervention and the coalition against the self-proclaimed Islamic State. More specifically, we analyse (1) the effect of party ideology on mandate preferences, and (2) the impact of bargaining between majority and opposition parties on the outcome of mandate negotiations. Our case study demonstrates that left-wing parties show a strong inclination toward imposing restrictions on the use of military force beyond humanitarian goals, while right-wing preferences tend to depend on the national interests at stake in the operation. With regard to majority-opposition bargaining, our study shows that the impact of opposition parties is dependent on the degree of contention between government and opposition parties, as well as on the extent to which the executive needs to seek support across its own majority.     

An approach for predicting digital material consumption in electronic warfare

Electronic warfare is a modern combat mode, in which predicting digital material consumption is a key for material requirements planning (MRP). In this paper, we introduce an insensitive loss function (ε) and propose a ε-SVR-based prediction approach. First, we quantify values of influencing factors of digital equipments in electronic warfare and a small-sample data on real consumption to form a real combat data set, and preprocess it to construct the sample space. Subsequently, we establish the ε-SVR-based prediction model based on “wartime influencing factors - material consumption” and perform model training. In case study, we give 8 historical battle events with battle damage data and predict 3 representative kinds of digital materials by using the proposed approach. The results illustrate its higher accuracy and more convenience compared with other current approaches. Taking data acquisition controller prediction as an example, our model has better prediction performance (RMSE = 0.575 7, MAPE (%) = 12.037 6 and R² = 0.996 0) compared with BP neural network model (RMSE = 1.272 9, MAPE (%) = 23.577 5 and R² = 0.980 3) and GM (1, 1) model (RMSE = 2.095 0, MAPE (%) = 24.188 0 and R² = 0.946 6). The fact shows that the approach can be used to support decision-making for MRP in electronic warfare.     

More allies,weaker missions? How junior partners contribute to multinational military operations

There is a growing consensus that multinational military operations are often less effective than the theoretical sum of their constitutive parts. Multiple chains of command, restriction on intelligence sharing, and capability aggregation problems can reduce fighting power. However, partners may be necessary to provide legitimacy to an intervention. As such, most studies assume that the state leading a coalition (usually the United States) has to accept a degree of operational ineffectiveness in order to gain political benefits from the participation of junior partners to a multinational military operation. However, such analysis puts all junior partners under the same category, without taking into account the differentiated contributions of those junior partners based on their relative military power and international status. This article explores variation between the junior partners’ contributions and their impact on coalition political and military dynamics. It teases out the implications of adopting a fine-grained analysis of junior partners.     

基于遗传算法的电子对抗作战实验寻优方法

作战仿真实验是评估电子对抗作战效能的理想方法,但在方案寻优时却面临实验方案"组合爆炸"的困难。对此,提出了将遗传算法引入作战实验寻优过程的求解思路。简要介绍了电子对抗作战仿真系统;分析了电子对抗作战方案拟制一般流程,建立了电子对抗作战方案优化模型,并给出了结合遗传算法和作战实验对其进行求解的原理和步骤;通过空袭作战电子对抗方案寻优的实例验证了方法的有效性。结果显示,本方法能够极大地提高寻优效率。     

对学院现代化教学手段建设的探讨

通过对学院现代化教学手段建设现状的剖析,指出了现代化教学手段建设中存在的一些思想认识上的误区、教员参与积极性不高和组织管理方面的问题;分析了发展学院现代化教学手段建设的关键问题:观念转变、激励机制和组织保障;提出了发展学院现代化教学手段建设的若干建议。     

ISIS’s Warfare Functions: A Systematized Review of a Proto-state’s Conventional Conduct of Combat Operations

This article gives an overall assessment of ISIS’s conventional conduct of combat operations by examining their warfighting functions patterns. In sum, the approach of ISIS comprised fundamental principles: their weapons can be organized into categories, purposeful combination of these forces in keeping with the concept of combined arms combat, and hierarchical command and control executed by experienced commanders. ISIS combat groups combined the elements of formation and firepower as well as movement and mobility. The paper concludes that ISIS obviously had a vast range of conventional capabilities at its disposal and was thus able to conduct major operations.     

基于多Agent的网络化舰空导弹系统协同机制研究

针对舰艇编队反导防御作战的复杂性,采用网络中心战的作战概念,分析了网络化的舰空导弹系统作战资源共享的优势.以集成火控系统(Integrated Fire Control System)的构建原理为例,描述了网络化舰空导弹系统的网格结构和特点,基于多Agent协同原理,提出了网络化的舰空导弹系统两层"混合式"协同体系结构,并对该结构的协同机制进行了研究.     

【将军论坛】重要经济目标与矢量防护工程

重要经济目标是信息化战争首选的打击对象，这类目标绝大多数位于地面以上，特点突出、规模庞大、难以保密、易损性强，一旦遭受破坏后果将损失惨重，而依靠建造硬壳抵御弹药毁伤的传统防护工程对其难有大的作为。本文从新形势下重要经济目标防护陷于困局的实际出发，系统分析和梳理了传统防护工程和防护技术的特点及其应用的固有薄弱特征，提出矢量防护的创造性解决方案，为重要经济设施和预警设施、新型作战装备等位于地面的易损性目标提供了理论基础。矢量防护工程通过改变弹药的运动方向，避免弹药与目标交汇，将防护工程由“拳击式”硬顶变为“太极式”破解，为未来我国重要经济目标提供了新质防护技术。     

作战系统MAS中的作战行动域与实际组元逻辑关系分析

建立作战系统多Agent系统(Multi-Agent System,MAS)组织,必须首先建立由作战系统实际组元到Agent的映射。围绕作战系统MAS的建立,在提出由作战系统实际组元到Agent的映射过程与方法的基础上,提出了作战系统领域概念视图、作战行动域及其各层次概念、实际组元逻辑关系分析的基本方法,为实现基于多Agent的作战系统建模与仿真奠定基础。在基于多Agent的信息化战场多传感器仿真演示系统中,证明了该方法的可行性与有效性。     

心理战领域研究的科学知识图谱

为把握心理战领域的研究现状,本文基于文献计量与科学知识图谱技术,对CNKI与WoS收录的心理战领域研究文献进行计量分析,并绘制文献的时间分布图谱、关键词共现图谱以及关键词突变图谱。在此基础上,对国内外心理战领域研究的科研合作、研究热点及研究前沿进行了探索与对比,并提出应制定完善的心理战条令,建立专门的心理战职能部门,加强心理战人才培养及提高部队官兵的心理素质等几项措施、建议,期望为国内心理战领域的进一步研究提供借鉴与参考。